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CROATIAN NATIONAL BANK DISCUSSES ECONOMIC, FINANCIAL SITUATION

ZAGREB, Sept 1 (Hina) - The Croatian National Bank (HNB) Council on Wednesday discussed the latest economic and financial developments. Members of the HNB Council were unanimous in the assessment that preserving the stability of prices and the exchange rate should remain a priority task of the central bank. The session paid special attention to those indicators which could be an obstacle to fulfilling that task in the future. According to a statement issued after the session, according to one of those indicators July was the seventh month this year which saw a negative balance on the state budget account, amounting to almost 4 billion kuna (DM1.030 billion). One should take into account that during the remaining part of 1999 there should be a gradual reduction of the state's indebtedness with the central bank, the statement said. Although they stress the need for lifting the tax b
ZAGREB, Sept 1 (Hina) - The Croatian National Bank (HNB) Council on Wednesday discussed the latest economic and financial developments. Members of the HNB Council were unanimous in the assessment that preserving the stability of prices and the exchange rate should remain a priority task of the central bank. The session paid special attention to those indicators which could be an obstacle to fulfilling that task in the future. According to a statement issued after the session, according to one of those indicators July was the seventh month this year which saw a negative balance on the state budget account, amounting to almost 4 billion kuna (DM1.030 billion). One should take into account that during the remaining part of 1999 there should be a gradual reduction of the state's indebtedness with the central bank, the statement said. Although they stress the need for lifting the tax burden, members of the Council cannot see how tax rates can be reduced without major changes in the distribution of the gross national product and in the structure of the overall social spending, especially in the period when there has been no expected revival of economic activity. Industrial production in the first seven months of 1999 was 1.9 per cent lower than in the same period last year. Exports in the first seven months of this year, expressed in US dollars, were 5.2 per cent lower, while imports decreased by 9.2 per cent, which means that the deficit in foreign trade has been decreasing but the overall trade has been decreasing also. Results of the tourist season are still not complete but it is already known that they are poorer than last year and that the downward trend has also continued in retail trade. The unemployment rate in the first seven months of 1999 was on the average 9.3 per cent higher than last year, and in late July it was 16.5 per cent higher than the year before. Despite such a situation, salaries have been increasing. The average net salary in July amounted to DM793, which is a nominal increase of 14.1 per cent, and a real increase of 9.5 per cent, compared to last year. According to the State Bureau for Statistics, the annual increase in retail prices amounted to 5.1 per cent. There were no major oscillations in the exchange rate. International reserves which are managed by the central bank amount to almost 2.9 billion US dollars, which is more than last year. The average interest rate on loans in June was considerably decreased, so that the interest rate on kuna loans amounted to 13.8 per cent, which is the lowest level since Croatia gained its monetary independence. It is estimated that the development of interest rates reflects to a considerable extent the fact that some problem-generating banks have gone bankrupt. Encouraging indicators certainly include a June increase in foreign exchange saving in Croatian banks, the statement concluded. (hina) rml

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