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RACAN CABINET NEEDS VOTES OF 76 MPS TO SURVIVE CONFIDENCE VOTE

ZAGREB, July 8 (Hina) - A discussion on confidence and a confidence vote in the government, announced by Premier Ivica Racan on late Saturday night, can be held in the Sabor next week-end at the earliest. The Ivica Racan government should gain the vote of at least 76 members of the parliament to survive the motion for the confidence vote. Sabor Speaker Zlatko Tomcic was quoted by the daily 'Vecernji List' as saying last night that he had already received Prime Minister's proposal for the motion of the confidence vote, and this can be put on the agenda seven days after the proposal is submitted, according the Constitution. Thus, the motion can be discussed next weekend at the earliest, while it should be considered by MPs within 30 days at the latest. Under the constitution, a no confidence decision shall be accepted if it has been voted by the majority of the total number of MPs. In this case, it is n
ZAGREB, July 8 (Hina) - A discussion on confidence and a confidence vote in the government, announced by Premier Ivica Racan on late Saturday night, can be held in the Sabor next week-end at the earliest. The Ivica Racan government should gain the vote of at least 76 members of the parliament to survive the motion for the confidence vote. Sabor Speaker Zlatko Tomcic was quoted by the daily 'Vecernji List' as saying last night that he had already received Prime Minister's proposal for the motion of the confidence vote, and this can be put on the agenda seven days after the proposal is submitted, according the Constitution. Thus, the motion can be discussed next weekend at the earliest, while it should be considered by MPs within 30 days at the latest. Under the constitution, a no confidence decision shall be accepted if it has been voted by the majority of the total number of MPs. In this case, it is necessary that 76 MPs vote for no confidence. If at present votes of 23 deputies of the HSLS party are excluded, given that HSLS members in the Croatian government - three ministers as well as Racan's First Deputy Goran Granic - tendered resignation yesterday after which PM announced the confidence vote, the number of MPs in the Sabor who are representatives of other four ruling parties comes to 65 i.e. 45 of Social Democrats (SDP), 16 of Croatian Peasants' Party (HSS) and two of Croatian People's Party (HNS) and Liberal Party (LS) each. The remaining 11 votes in the parliament necessary for confidence in the government are likely to be sought among ranks of IDS (Istrian Democratic Assembly), which has recently left the ruling coalition and which now supports the government's decision to act in line with the UN war crimes court's (ICTY) request about the hand-over of Croatian indictees, and the DC (Democratic Centre). Each DC and IDS have four (4) MPs in the Sabor. National minorities have three representatives, while parties - PGS (Primorje-Gorski Kotar Alliance), SBHS (Slavonia Baranja Croatian Party), which are two regional parties, and HND (Croatian Independent Democrats) and SNS (Serb People's Party) - each have one MP. If all the representatives of the said parties vote in favour of the confidence, this figure will come to 80 MPs. The strongest opposition party, HDZ, with 41 MPs, and the bench of the HSP/HKDU with five MPs are likely to vote for no confidence in the Racan cabinet ( i.e. a total of 46 representatives). It remains to be seen how an independent deputy, Ivo Loncar, who won the seat being on the slate of the HSS and who turned to be the severest critic of the incumbent authorities, will vote. It is not certain which position the HSLS will take during the parliamentary vote. On Saturday Defence Minister Jozo Rados, Economy Minister Goranko Fizulic and Science Minister Hrvoje Kraljevic, together with Granic, (all are HSLS members) offered their resignation over the government's decision to act in line with the ICTY's request about the hand-over of war crimes indictees. The fifth HSLS member in the Racan Cabinet - Transport Minister Alojz Tusek - did not resign. In addition, during the vote for the government's decision, which was held before their resignation, only Kraljevic was against it, two HSLS members - Rados and Kraljevic - abstained, while Goran Granic and Tusek voted for it. According to unofficial reports, the HSLS is divided over this issue and the vote. If a vote of no confidence in the prime minister or the Government as a whole is passed, the prime minister and the government should submit their resignation to the President of the Republic, read the constitution. After that, there are two options. One of them is call early parliamentary elections. The other one is that President Stjepan Mesic offers the mandate to a new premier-designate for the formation of a new government. The latter option is less possible, as the current opposition, even if the HSLS joins it, is not able to constitute a new government, as it cannot muster the vote of over 70 MPs. (hina) ms

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