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STAGNATION IN EXPORT CONSTANT IN CROATIA'S FOREIGN TRADE

ZAGREB, July 25 (Hina) - Despite the domestic economy's proclaimed orientation towards export, stagnation in this field is constant in foreign trade, reads a Croatian Chamber of Commerce (HGK) document about the current situation in Croatia's economy, released on Thursday.
ZAGREB, July 25 (Hina) - Despite the domestic economy's proclaimed orientation towards export, stagnation in this field is constant in foreign trade, reads a Croatian Chamber of Commerce (HGK) document about the current situation in Croatia's economy, released on Thursday. #L# The total trade between Croatia and the world in 2001, compared to 1994, marks an increase of 38 percent. In that period, however, export increased by a mere 5.8 percent, while import increased by 63.5 percent. This means that in 2001 the share of export in foreign trade was a mere 33 percent, as against 44 percent in 1994, the HGK cautioned. The share of Croatian products imported by the European Union (EU) was decreased from 0.37 percent in 1995 to 0.27 percent last year. The poor state in Croatian export is also visible in data about its share in Gross Domestic Product (GDP) when compared to data in other EU countries and transition countries in central and eastern Europe. Observed more specifically, the level of Croatia's export last year slightly exceeded US$1,000 per capita. At the same time, in Slovakia this was US$2,300, in Hungary and the Czech Republic around US$3,000, while in Slovenia export was realised to an amount of US$4,600 per capita. Croatian export comes off even worse if compared to data as to its coverage of import in other countries in the region. Since 1995, Croatia marks the lowest coverage of import with export, with the exception of Yugoslavia. The HGK document notes numerous reasons for the stagnation in Croatian export, ranging from war destruction and political isolation during the 1990s to disordered financial, judicial and administrative systems, the problem of privatisation, the high costs of labour, insufficient institutional support for export, and lack of motivation in the macroeconomic policy, particularly the currency exchange rate. HGK analysts stress that an overrated kuna discourages export, while at the same time encouraging import. The HGK refers to current currency policies as the "killer of export". Changes in the currency exchange policy in fact, HGK analysts believe, can be the basis to overcome the existing state. The HGK document does not recommend the devaluation of an over rated kuna but instead a gradual depreciation, over a minimum of three years. (hina) sp it

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