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CROATIA'S RISK OUTLOOK FOR FEB. MODERATE - CREDIT RATING AGENCY

ZAGREB, Feb 7 (Hina) - Croatia's credit rating for February remains unchanged from January -- DB4d -- marking the country as one of moderate risk for investments, according to Dun & Bradstreet, the world's leading credit rating agency.
ZAGREB, Feb 7 (Hina) - Croatia's credit rating for February remains unchanged from January -- DB4d -- marking the country as one of moderate risk for investments, according to Dun & Bradstreet, the world's leading credit rating agency. #L# Croatia's risk outlook has been characterised by the release of official preliminary data on an increase in Gross Domestic Product in the last quarter of 2002 which was up 6.5 percent from the same time the year before. This resulted in D&B raising its GDP growth estimate for Croatia in 2002 from 3.8 to 4.8 percent, read a report released on Friday by BonLine, a Zagreb-based company for economic information. Besides the GDP growth, other significant events in the economy last month included a stronger loan activity -- which on the annual level last November went up 40.3 percent for households and 21.4 percent for companies. The sources of these loans, however, worried the central bank as they are funded by foreign credits. D&B, therefore, commended the steps the Croatian National Bank took to curb the excessive increase in loan provisioning. The agency said developments in connection with Gen. Janko Bobetko, an indictee of the U.N. war crimes tribunal in The Hague, also affected Croatia's risk outlook. The DB4d risk factor which Croatia has been receiving for several months is used to indicate moderate risk countries -- those in which the risk for the return of invested money is considerable. Among central and eastern Europe's countries with the best credit rating, according to D&B, are Hungary and Slovenia with DB2d as low risk countries, followed by the Czech Republic, Estonia and Poland with DB3d -- mild risk. Yugoslavia is still at the bottom of the list with the risk factor DB6d -- high risk -- alongside Uzbekistan, Turkmenistan, Tajikistan, Georgia, Belarus, Bosnia and Herzegovina, and Albania. (hina) ha sb

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