Medium Gallup manager Srbobran Brankovic told Blic daily of Saturday that support for the Radical Party had fallen from 36% to 30.7%, while that of the Socialist Party of Serbia had dropped from 6.3% to 4.6%, which is below the 5% election threshold.
"The rating of the Democratic Party of Boris Tadic has gone up from 22.8% to 23.7%, that of the Democratic Party of Serbia of Vojislav Kostunica from 10.6% to 14.7%, the rating of the New Serbia party from 4.1% to 5.5%, while the rating of the G17 Plus led by Mladjan Dinkic has remained at five percent," Brankovic said. He added that the Serbian Renewal Movement, the Liberal-Democratic Party of Cedomir Jovanovic and the Strength of Serbia Movement of Bogoljub Karic remained below the election threshold.
Brankovic believes that one of the possible reasons for the fall in the rating of the Radicals and the Socialists and the restored public trust in Democrat forces is lessened pressure from Europe regarding the extradition of Ratko Mladic and a renewed chance of continuation of negotiations. The other possible reasons are the return of the Radicals to their previous image which resulted in the rebellion of the democratic public, and last month's increase in the value of the national currency against the euro.
In the event of elections, the Radicals would win 94 seats in the 250-seat parliament (two seats more than in the previous elections), the Democratic Party would win 72 seats, the Democratic Party of Serbia 44, the New Serbia party 17 and the G17 Plus 15 seats. Parties representing national minorities would win ten seats, and the new government could be formed only with a post-election coalition.