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Two scenarios possible for Croatia's energy transition

Author: Snježana Pezer

ZAGREB, Nov 8 (Hina) - Croatia's energy development to 2030 and 2050 can continue at an accelerated or at a moderate pace and both options mean decarbonisation, switching to renewable energy sources and decreasing the emission of greenhouse gasses, notes an analysis by the Hrvroje Pozar Energy Institute (EHIP) released on Thursday.

At the accelerated pace, investments from 2020 to 2050 would amount to HRK 160.4 billion or HRK 5.4 billion a year, whereas at the moderate pace they would amount to HRK 133.7 billion or HRK 4.45 billion a year.

During the presentation of the Green Book, it was heard that most of the investments relate to the electricity system - HRK 120.8 billion based on the accelerated "scenario 1" or HRK 100 billion according to the moderate "scenario 2."

Mario Tot from EIHP said that both scenarios involve decarbonising the production of electricity by switching to renewable energy sources.

Preliminary estimates indicate that the total investment in the electricity transmission network, including connections of new conventional power plants, wind farms and solar power plants in the period until 2030 would amount to HRK 8.2 billion in scenario 1, which means an investment of HRK 686 million a year, while the costs for scenario 2 would amount to HRK 7.9 billion or an average investment of HRK 666 million a year.

The accelerated pace of energy transition would decrease green house gasses by 40% by 2030 and by 75% by 2050. The consumption of electricity would be reduced by 2.6% by 2030 and by 28.6% by 2050.

The moderate pace of transition foresees a reduction of greenhouse gas emissions of 35% by 2030 and 65% by 2050 compared to 1990. The consumption of power would be reduced by 8.1% by 2050, while buildings would be made energy efficient at a rate of 1.6%.

(Hina) sp

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