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ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENTS IN FIRST QUARTER OF 2001

ZAGREB, June 12 (Hina) - Even though complete data for the first quarter of 2001 are not yet available, it seems that the economic growth remained at a satisfactory level, but it is still not strong enough to reduce the unemployment rate, the Croatian National Bank said in the latest issue of its "Quarter Bulletin". The HNB stressed that despite the fact that the economic growth in the last quarter of 2000 was moderately slow, the annual growth of the real Gross Domestic Product (GDP), which amounted to 3.7 percent, clearly marked the end of recession, which started in late 1998. The industrial production index increased by 5.5 percent in relation to the same quarter in 2000, while the processing industry index increased by 7.8 percent. In relation to the first quarter of the last year, trade increased by about 9.8 percent, while retail trade increased by 16.5 percent. A high level of consumptio
ZAGREB, June 12 (Hina) - Even though complete data for the first quarter of 2001 are not yet available, it seems that the economic growth remained at a satisfactory level, but it is still not strong enough to reduce the unemployment rate, the Croatian National Bank said in the latest issue of its "Quarter Bulletin". The HNB stressed that despite the fact that the economic growth in the last quarter of 2000 was moderately slow, the annual growth of the real Gross Domestic Product (GDP), which amounted to 3.7 percent, clearly marked the end of recession, which started in late 1998. The industrial production index increased by 5.5 percent in relation to the same quarter in 2000, while the processing industry index increased by 7.8 percent. In relation to the first quarter of the last year, trade increased by about 9.8 percent, while retail trade increased by 16.5 percent. A high level of consumption was also marked in the first quarter, as well as a sudden increase in import. Despite the increase in import, latest balance-of-payments data for the final quarter of 2000 are encouraging, the HNB claims. The total current account deficit amounts to 2.8 percent of he GDP, namely it is at the lowest level since 1995. The economic growth is still not strong enough to reduce the unemployment rate, the HNB says. The intensive reconstruction of economy cancelled many job but also created new ones. In the first quarter , 69,000 persons registered in the Croatian Employment Bureau, 31,000 got employed, while labour force reduced by 27,000. The unemployment rate increased in the first quarter (seasonal labour). Inflation in the first quarter was moderate, with a 0.7 percent increase of retail prices. The inter-annual inflation rate dropped from 7.4 percent to 6 percent in March. Wages moderately increased. The government plans to decrease wages in the public sector, and will implement this decision by the end of the second quarter. The currency exchange developments show that the value of Croatia's kuna moderately decreased in January and February, and significantly increased in March. By mid May, the value of kuna increased by 3.26 percent in relation to EURO. The appreciation of kuna can help inflation to drop. The HNB, however, is trying to prevent strong currency fluctuations by taking measures for the prevention of the appreciation trend. Monetary movements point to the continuation of a high increase of monetary aggregates. Foreign currency deposits are still rapidly increasing, namely 1.5 percent each month. (hina) it sb

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