CIJENE KAVE U NEW YORK-U
SAD - KAVA trgovačke spot cijene 22. svibnja 1997.
Differentials /svibanj/ ZADNJA
Santos 4's 56 cts under "C" 204.30 N
Colombian MAMs 40 cts over "C" 300.30 N
El Salvador 25 cts over "C" 285.30 N
Mexican 20 cts over "C" 280.30 N
Guatemala 26 cts over "C" 286.30 N
Peru 20 cts over "C" 280.30 N
Uganda Pmy Robs 12 cts over London 106.44 N
Indonesia EK1 4 cts under London 90.44 N
Ecuador Ext Sup 16 cts under "C" 244.30 N
NEW YORK - KAVA cijene pri zatvaranju burze 22. svibnja 1997.
MJE POSLJ OTVA NAJ NAJ ZATVA NAGO
SEC EDNJA RANJE VIŠA NIŽA RANJE DBE
JUL7 259.00 254.00 265.00 254.00 258.50 260.30 2
SEP7 228.00 228.50 233.50 226.25 228.00 229.95 2
DEC7 200.00 200.00 202.15 197.00 199.50 199.85 1
MAR8 184.00 186.00 188.00 183.00 183.00 183.35 1
MAY8 175.00 176.00 177.00 175.00 175.00 175.65 1
JUL8 169.50 169.50 169.50 169.50 168.00 168.50 1
SEP8 162.00 162.00 162.00 162.00 162.00 162.50 1
DEC8
CSCE coffee ends up, but profit taking trims gains
NEW YORK, May 22 (Reuter) - CSCE coffee futures continued
their bull run Thursday as speculative buying drove nearby
contracts to new life-of-contract highs, traders said.
But a sudden burst of profit taking just ahead of the
close cut deeply into earlier gains, they said.
"The market failed to pick up more momentum and people
took profits," said one trader. "It's really vicious this
market."
Benchmark July arabicas shot up to a fresh lifetime high
of 265.00 cents a lb -- a near-term resistance level -- before
the rally ran out of steam.
By the close, July stood at 260.30 cents, up 7.20 cents on
the day. The day's low was 254.00 cents. Second-position
September settled up 4.90 cents at 229.95 cents after setting
a new contract high of 233.50 cents. The outer months finished
up 0.40 to 3.70.
The July/September switch ballooned to 30.35 cents
compared with 28.05 cents at the close on Wednesday.
Coffee prices charged higher at the outset, defying the
pre-opening call, as locals and speculators followed through
on Wednesday's explosive rally. Upward momentum picked up
after the July contract broke through 262.00 chart resistance,
triggering buy-stops.
"It was just an extention of yesterday's gains," said
Smith Barney analyst Walt Spilka. "And they may have priced in
a potential weather problem."
Traders said weather outlooks on Thursday calling for
cooler temperatures moving into top-grower Brazil late this
week continued to underpin prices.
Although forecasters stated that the colder air is not
expected to cause damage to Brazil's coffee trees, any talk of
temperatures dropping at a time when inventories hover near
20-year lows is likely to spark some panicky buying, traders
said.
Additionally, traders took note of a long-term weather
outlook, which predicted below normal temperatures in portions
of Brazil's coffee belt through July.
In a monthly bulletin, Brazilian independent forecasters
Somar said two of Brazil's key coffee regions -- the north Sao
Paulo state and southern Minas Gerais -- may see below average
temperatures in May through to July.
"This is due to the entry of cold air masses, which,
together with clear skies (common in winter), favors low
temperatures in the early mornings," Somar said.
In the bulletin Somar also mentioned signs of the return
of the El Nino weather phenomenon, but said it was "important
to remember that its consequences in South America are not
immediate." The El Nino phenomenon would affect rainfall and
temperatures only from next summer, they said.
Technically, Smith Barney's Spilka said the market was
reaching an extremely overbought level, but noted that many
traders may be reluctant to sell ahead of the three-day U.S.
Memorial Day week-end when there were projections for colder
temperatures in Brazil.
But if no damaging cold hits Brazil over the weekend, the
market could be in for a sharp downturn, traders said.
On the charts, traders pegged July near-term support at
256.60 cents, followed by 250.00 and 239.00. On the upside,
July's new lifetime high of 265.00 cents was seen as
resistance.
After Thursday's close, CSCE reported certified coffee
stocks fell by 1,500 bags, to 49,712 bags as of May 21. There
was no coffee pending grading, the exchange said.
Volume reached an estimated 10,220 lots.
231014 MET may 97
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