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HGK forecasts anaemic rise in industrial output, consumption in 2015

Author: mses
ZAGREB, Jan 2 (Hina) - Croatian Chamber of Commerce (HGK) analysts project a mild rise in industrial production and in the retail sector throughout 2015, or in other words, industrial output and retail statistics are to remain around 17% below the pre-crisis 2008.

"We expect the continuation of the recovery of industrial production in 2015 and it to reach the levels in 2012," HGK analyst Zvonimir Savic said in a press release on Friday.

The press release recalls that Croatia's industrial production in November saw an annual rise of 2.8%, thus increasing for the third straight month.

In the first eleven months, industrial production rose 1% compared to the corresponding period in 2013.

The HGK analysts also expect a mild rise in Croatia's retail turnover in 2015 partly due the low reference base in 2014.

The chamber notes that retail sales in 2014 were 17% down from 2008.

In the first eleven months of 2014, retail trade increased by only 0.2% compared to the corresponding period in 2013.

Weak positive trends, which actually border on stagnation, and a generally low level of real retail sales are a result of negative trends on the labour market, which have persisted for several years, with a drop in employment and a real decline in take-home pay, which have affected the population's purchasing power, the HGK notes.

(Hina) ms

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