CIJENE KAVE U NEW YORK-U
SAD - KAVA trgovačke spot cijene 15. prosinca 1997.
Differentials /spot/ ZADNJA
Santos 4's 3 cts under "C" 185.40 N
Colombian MAMs 16 cts over "C" 204.40 N
El Salvador 7 cts over "C" 195.40 N
Mexican 2 cts under "C" 186.40 N
Guatemala 7 cts over "C" 195.40 N
Peru 5 cts over "C" 193.40 N
Uganda Pmy Robs 10 cts over London 92.55 N
Indonesia EK1 2 cts over London 80.55 N
Ecuador Ext Sup 18 cts under "C" 170.40 N
NEW YORK - KAVA cijene pri zatvaranju burze 15. prosinca 1997.
MJE POSLJ OTVA NAJ NAJ ZATVA NAGO
EDNJA RANJE VIŠA NIŽA RANJE DBE
DEC7 188.00 186.00 188.00 186.00 188.00 188.40 1
MAR8 185.00 186.00 187.25 182.50 185.00 185.45 1
MAY8 179.00 180.00 180.75 177.00 179.00 179.30 1
JUL8 172.50 173.75 174.00 169.50 172.25 172.30 1
SEP8 163.50 166.00 166.00 160.00 163.50 164.00 1
DEC8 157.00 156.00 157.50 155.00 157.00 157.50 1
MAR9 153.00 153.00 154.00 153.00 153.50 154.00 1
MAY9 147.00 151.00 151.50 1
CSCE coffee rises sharply after Mexican cold snap
NEW YORK, Dec 15 (Reuters) - CSCE coffee futures rallied on
Monday, bolstered by speculative buying amid concerns cold
weather in Mexico over the weekend harmed coffee trees in the
northern portion of the country's coffee belt, market sources
said.
"This market is ultra-sensitive to any weather problems
because world stocks are so tight," said Allendale Commodities
analyst Jim Cordier. "Now we're hearing there could be some
damage to trees in Mexico which could hamper next year's
production and we just don't need that right now."
March arabicas rose 5.55 cents per lb on the day, to 185.45
cents, after ranging between 187.25 and 182.50 cents. Spot
December closed 5.40 cents higher at 188.40 cents, while the
rest of the board finished up 1.50 to 5.45 cents.
The March/May switch widened to 6.15 cents from 6.05 cents
at the close on Friday, while nearby December/March shrunk to
2.95 cents compared with 3.10 cents.
Arabica prices gapped higher at the opening -- surpassing
their up 2.00 to 3.00 cents due -- as news of the cold weather
in Mexico propelled March arabicas up more than 7.00 cents.
Smith Barney meteorologist Jon Davis said in his daily
weather update on Monday that the cold air pushed from the
northern to central portions of Mexico over the weekend but did
not penetrate into southern regions of Mexico or Central
America.
"As for the coffee belt, the only area which had temps drop
to levels which would be any kind of concern was the far
northern fringe of the belt -- northern and western sections of
Veracruz," said Davis. "Veracruz accounts for nearly one-quarter
of Mexico's coffee production but cold temps were only
concentrated across a small portion of that state."
He added, "The bottom line is that only five percent of
total coffee acreage in Mexico had cold temps over the weekend
and readings in this area were only marginal from a frost/freeze
perspective."
However, coffee growers from the state of Puebla on Monday
reported frost damage to beans in the Sierra Norte mountains.
Producers in the Xicotepec region of the Sierra Norte de Puebla
told Reuters there was a second night of sub-zero temperatures
Sunday into Monday and coffee plantations had suffered damage --
still unquantifiable at this early stage.
Puebla, Mexico's third largest coffee growing state,
produced 809,930 60-kg bags of coffee in 1996/97 according to
the Mexican Coffee Council.
Mexico's total coffee output, estimated by the government to
reach 5.8 million 60-kg bags for the 1997/98 season, has already
been revised down by growers because of hurricane damage in
Oaxaca and Chiapas earlier this year.
Additionally, traders and analysts said an anticipated
drawdown in this afternoon's monthly Green Coffee Association of
New York stock report for November and a consumption report from
UK trade house E.D.&F. Man also gave the market a boost.
"The rally reflects more than just the Mexican problem,"
said Merrill Lynch analyst Judith Ganes. "It really doesn't
affect this year's output and who cares what Mexico loses next
year when Brazil is expected to produce anywhere from 35 million
to 42 million bags next year."
"It's more to do with expectations of a decrease in GCA
stocks and the E.D.&F. Man report," Ganes said.
Most industry participants had expected the GCA stock level
to show a decrease during November in U.S. consumer coffee
stocks of some 300,000 to 400,000 60-kg bags. The figure came
in, after the close, at 396,000 bags. In October, U.S.
inventories fell by 283,000 bags to 2,011,000 bags, GCA
reported.
E D & F Man said in a report released Monday that world
coffee consumption could exceed 80 million bags if the strong
pace of imports in the first half of the year is maintained in
the current half. Imports reached 42.7 million bags in January
to June this year, it said.
In 1996, the world consumed 77.1 million bags, up from 71.3
million a year earlier.
"This increase is frankly too good to be true in a period
when U.S. retail roast prices increased by 34 percent and German
retail roast prices by 17 percent," Man said.
Technically, traders said the active March contract faced
nearby resistance at last week's peak of 188.50 cents per lb.
Support was seen towards 182-183 cents.
Turnover reached an estimated 6,525 lots.
161144 MET dec 97
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