CIJENE KAVE U NEW YORK-U
SAD - KAVA trgovačke spot cijene 19. rujna 1997.
Differentials /spot/ ZADNJA
Santos 4's 10 cts under "C" 164.15 N
Colombian MAMs 23 cts over "C" 197.15 N
El Salvador 11 cts over "C" 185.15 N
Mexican 5 cts over "C" 179.15 N
Guatemala 11 cts over "C" 185.15 N
Peru 15 cts over "C" 189.15 N
Uganda Pmy Robs 8 cts over London 77.67 N
Indonesia EK1 4 cts under London 65.67 N
Ecuador Ext Sup 18 cts under "C" 156.15 N
NEW YORK - KAVA cijene pri zatvaranju burze 19. rujna 1997.
MJE POSLJ OTVA NAJ NAJ ZATVA NAGO
EDNJA RANJE VIŠA NIŽA RANJE DBE
DEC7 174.25 171.00 177.50 166.75 173.90 174.15 1
MAR8 161.50 158.50 163.50 155.00 161.50 161.50 1
MAY8 155.00 151.50 155.25 150.00 155.40 155.50 1
JUL8 146.50 145.00 146.50 144.00 149.50 149.65 1
SEP8 141.00 138.00 142.00 139.00 143.40 143.45 1
DEC8 137.00 132.00 137.00 132.50 137.00 137.15 1
MAR9
MAY9
CSCE coffee ends up sharply, El Nino fears persist
NEW YORK, Sept 19 (Reuter) - CSCE coffee futures closed
higher on Friday, boosted by speculative buying amid ongoing
concerns an El Nino weather pattern could hurt world coffee
crops, market sources said.
December arabicas rose 4.50 cents per lb on the day, to
174.15 cents, after ranging from 177.50 to 166.75 cents.
Second-month March ended 5.20 cents higher, at 161.50 cents,
while the forward contracts finished up 5.50 to 5.95 cents.
The December/March switch narrowed to 12.65 cents compared
with 13.35 cents at the close on Thursday.
Arabica futures rose at the opening on local buying, but
upward momentum faded and the ring got out of their long
positions. December lost more than 3.00 cents, but failed to get
through Thursday's low of 166.50 cents, prompting a bout of
short-covering.
Traders said the reversal was helped by suggestions that the
coffee crop in Colombia could be devastated if a prolonged El
Nino-linked drought continued in the months ahead.
In remarks to a local radio station on Friday, Diego Arango
Mora, a member of the policy-making National Coffee Growers'
Committee from central Quindio province, said the real problem
is that forecasters see the El Nino weather system holding
through the first half of next year during the key
December-January flowering period.
"If that's what happens, we're going to lose the crop in the
first half (of 1998) completely," Arango said.
But private U.S. forecaster Weather Services Corp said on
Friday El Nino would probably have only minor effect on
Colombia's coffee belt.
"There may be some effects in the fringes of the coffee
belt, but no big impact in major areas in terms of El Nino,"
said WSC meterologist Joel Burgio.
Nevertheless, Allendale Commodities analyst James Cordier
said any talk of El Nino was likely spark speculative buying.
"Technically, the charts look really bullish and fueled by
El Nino, that's all the speculators need," said Cordier.
"I've been bearish for a long time, but I'm turning
bullish," he added. "I think there's a chance to see December
coffee over $2."
Worries that recent hot, dry weather in top-producer Brazil
-- which some forecasters have linked to El Niqo -- could
continue going into the crucial flowering period for the 1998/99
coffee crop has also underpinned sentiment.
In the past, El Nino -- an warming of water temperatures in
the Pacific Ocean off the coast of South America -- has
disrupted weather patterns and caused damage to crops worldwide.
On the charts, traders said December faced initial
resistance at 178.00 cents, followed by 180.00 cents. Support
was seen at 171.50-170.00 cents.
Next week, attention will focus on the Association of Coffee
Producing Countries (ACPC) meeting in London, where members are
expected to mete out export quotas for 1997/98 (July/June).
Turnover on Friday reached an estimated 7,664 lots.
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