CIJENE KAVE U NEW YORK-U
SAD - KAVA trgovačke spot cijene 31. srpnja 1997.
Differentials /spot/ ZADNJA
Santos 4's 12 cts under "C" 172.50 N
Colombian MAMs 23 cts over "C" 207.50 N
El Salvador 11 cts over "C" 195.50 N
Mexican even to "C" 184.50 N
Guatemala 13 cts over "C" 197.50 N
Peru 16 cts over "C" 200.50 N
Uganda Pmy Robs 8 cts over London 82.43 N
Indonesia EK1 4 cts under London 70.43 N
Ecuador Ext Sup 18 cts under "C" 166.50 N
NEW YORK - KAVA cijene pri zatvaranju burze 31. srpnja 1997.
MJE POSLJ OTVA NAJ NAJ ZATVA NAGO
EDNJA RANJE VIŠA NIŽA RANJE DBE
SEP7 183.50 186.50 191.50 181.50 183.50 184.50 1
DEC7 162.75 162.50 166.00 161.10 162.00 162.55 1
MAR8 147.50 150.00 152.00 147.00 147.75 148.00 1
MAY8 143.50 141.50 145.50 143.50 142.00 142.25 1
JUL8 137.50 138.50 138.00 137.50 138.50 138.55 1
SEP8 134.00 134.00 134.00 134.00 133.25 133.75 1
DEC8 131.00 131.50 131.00 131.00 130.00 130.25 1
MAR9
CSCE coffee ends mixed, Sept/Dec spread narrows
NEW YORK, July 31 (Reuter) - CSCE coffee futures ended mixed
in choppy dealings on Thursday, with much of the day's focus
centered on the nearby September/December switch, market sources
said.
September arabicas finished 1.25 cents per lb lower, at
184.50 cents, after ranging from 191.50 to 181.50 cents.
Second-month December rose 1.20 cents, to 162.55 cents,
tightening the September/December switch to 21.95 cents compared
with 24.40 cents at the close on Wednesday.
The back months closed down 1.25 to 2.80 cents.
Coffee prices rose at the outset, but came in well short of
the up 5.00-cent pre-opening call, as the market attempted to
recover from Tuesday's late sell-off.
However, trade profit-taking on the September/December
switch and light commission house selling kept the market under
pressure, dealers said.
Traders also noted brisk activity in the options pit ahead
of September options expiry on Friday. Dealers particularly
noted selling of 195.00 and 200.00 calls.
"There was a lot of options trading, back and forth," said
one trader. "It made it very choppy."
Traders brushed aside news that the Brazilian government on
Thursday maintained that it had not changed its 1997/98 coffee
crop forecast of 22 million bags.
A recent report from Brazil quoted official sources as
pegging the 1997/98 (April-May) Brazil coffee crop at 20 million
bags, down from the 22 million forecast by the Industry and
Commerce Ministry earlier this year.
"Everyone has heard these 20 million and 22 million
estimates," said one dealer. "They are already in the market."
Prediction's for the 1997/98 coffee crop from top-grower
Brazil have ranged widely from 18 million bags to the USDA's
estimate of 28 million bags. Many recent Brazilian trade
forecasts have come in at around 23-25 million bags.
Traders also downplayed recent weather forecasts indicating
a small chance of cold weather making it's way toward Brazil's
coffee areas late next week.
Forecaster Cropcast said Thursday that long-range guidance
models showed Brazil's coffee belt could see colder temperatures
August 8-10, with a 20 percent chance of frost.
Another forecaster, Weather Services Corp, said on Thursday
that colder air expected to build into Central Argentina next
week does not appear strong enough at this time to penetrate
northward into Brazil's coffee belt.
"Freeze, no freeze, 20 million bags, 28 million bags. It was
really a boring day," said another dealer. "It's been up 40
cents in the last two weeks, it's got to have a boring day
sometimes."
But some traders reckoned any threat of cold weather could
spur some "insurance" buying on Friday, as some market
participants may be reluctant to take any chances over the
weekend.
Technically, traders pegged September support at
181.00-180.00 cents. On the upside, they said resistance was
seen near 190.00 cents.
After Thursday's close the CSCE reported certified coffee
stocks fell by 250 60-kg bags as of July 30, to 92,399 bags. An
additional 750 bags were pending grading, the exchange said.
Volume on the day reached an estimated 6,270 lots.
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