CIJENE KAVE U NEW YORK-U
SAD - KAVA trgovačke spot cijene 30. srpnja 1997.
Differentials /spot/ ZADNJA
Santos 4's 12 cts under "C" 173.75 N
Colombian MAMs 23 cts over "C" 208.75 N
El Salvador 11 cts over "C" 196.75 N
Mexican even to "C" 185.75 N
Guatemala 13 cts over "C" 198.75 N
Peru 16 cts over "C" 201.75 N
Uganda Pmy Robs 8 cts over London 83.75 N
Indonesia EK1 4 cts under London 71.75 N
Ecuador Ext Sup 18 cts under "C" 167.75 N
NEW YORK - KAVA cijene pri zatvaranju burze 30. srpnja 1997.
MJE POSLJ OTVA NAJ NAJ ZATVA NAGO
EDNJA RANJE VIŠA NIŽA RANJE DBE
SEP7 185.00 191.25 198.00 185.00 185.00 185.75 1
DEC7 161.00 168.00 171.00 161.00 161.00 161.35 1
MAR8 150.00 154.50 155.25 150.00 150.00 150.00 1
MAY8 144.00 146.00 148.50 144.00 143.00 143.50 1
JUL8 141.00 139.00 141.00 141.00 141.00 141.05 1
SEP8 134.00 134.00 135.00 1
DEC8 133.00 131.00 134.00 133.00 133.00 133.05 1
MAR9
CSCE coffee ends mostly lower, early rally fizzles
NEW YORK, July 30 (Reuter) - CSCE coffee futures shed steep
early gains to finish lower in volatile trading on Wednesday,
pressured by a last minute rush of speculative liquidation,
market sources said.
Prices headed higher from the opening bell as speculators
came in buying amid extended forecasts calling for colder
weather in Brazil and continued concerns about tight prompt
supply, traders said.
The spot September contract rallied to 198.00 cents per lb
-- its highest level in more than six weeks -- but origin
price-fixing and trade selling of the September/December switch
capped gains and stemmed upward momentum, dealers said.
"I think Brazil was licking its chops when the market
approached $2," said Allendale Commodities analyst Jim Cordier.
"I think we've seen the top in coffee," he added, "it was
classic."
Traders said downward momentum accelerated after September
slipped through 192.50 cents per lb, touching off commission
house sell-stops.
September futures finished at 185.75 cents, down 3.15 cents
and just off the day's low of 185.00 cents. Second-month
December fell 4.70 cents, to 161.35 cents, while the back months
closed down 2.25 to up 3.05.
The September/December switch widened to 24.40 cents
compared with 22.85 cents at the close on Tuesday.
Despite a flat pre-opening call, September arabicas gapped
more than 2.00 cents higher at the outset. Traders said
long-term Brazilian weather outlooks predicting colder
temperatures in the coffee belt during the weekend of August 9
set a bullish tone.
U.S. weather forecaster Cropcast said long-range guidance
models showed Brazil's coffee belt could see colder temperatures
late next week, with a 15 percent chance of frost.
Another U.S. forecaster Weather Services Corp also said the
longer-term outlook suggests cold temperatures during the
weekend of August 9. But it said at this time it would rate any
chance of damaging cold at less than 10 percent.
But Brazil's independent meteorologist Somar said that while
a cold front is forecast to reach southern Brazil, it was not
likely to reach coffee areas and it was too early to predict
frost.
"It's 11 days away," said one trader. "It brought some
uncertainty to the market, but I'm not sure it was a good reason
to buy.
"I think today's activity shows people were not committed to
the long side for the long haul," he added. "Whoever bought the
market on Monday said, 'Thank you very much, I'll take my money
now."
Since last Friday, September coffee prices had risen about
seven percent. In the last two weeks, September had surged
nearly 17 percent.
Despite the market's recent run-up, dealer noted total open
interest remained thin. Open interest was down 42 lots as of
July 29, to 21,750 lots.
"The entire rally was on low open interest," said Cordier.
"It was just short-covering and it's not the type of rally you
want because once the shorts are covered, that's it."
Technically, traders pegged September support at 184.50
cents, with a break below that level leading to a test of 180.00
cents. Strong resistance was seen at 200.00 cents.
After Wednesday's close the CSCE reported certified coffee
stocks rose by 875 60-kg bags as of July 29, to 92,649 bags. An
additional 4,504 bags were pending grading, the exchange said.
Volume on the day was moderate, at an estimated 8,191 lots.
310957 MET jul 97
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