CIJENE KAVE U NEW YORK-U
SAD - KAVA trgovačke spot cijene 21. svibnja 1997.
Differentials /svibanj/ ZADNJA
Santos 4's 30 cts under "C" 223.10 N
Colombian MAMs 50 cts over "C" 303.10 N
El Salvador 25 cts over "C" 278.10 N
Mexican 20 cts over "C" 273.10 N
Guatemala 26 cts over "C" 279.10 N
Peru 20 cts over "C" 273.10 N
Uganda Pmy Robs 12 cts over London 106.80 N
Indonesia EK1 4 cts under London 90.80 N
Ecuador Ext Sup 14 cts under "C" 239.10 N
NEW YORK - KAVA cijene pri zatvaranju burze 21. svibnja 1997.
MJE POSLJ OTVA NAJ NAJ ZATVA NAGO
SEC EDNJA RANJE VIŠA NIŽA RANJE DBE
JUL7 255.00 239.00 255.00 239.00 251.25 253.10 2
SEP7 225.50 215.00 226.00 214.80 224.00 225.05 2
DEC7 196.15 190.00 196.15 190.00 196.15 196.15 1
MAR8 183.00 177.00 183.00 177.00 183.00 183.00 1
MAY8 173.00 171.00 175.20 171.00 173.00 173.00 1
JUL8 169.05 164.00 169.05 164.00 162.00 168.10 1
SEP8 158.00 156.00 158.00 158.00 158.50 160.10 1
DEC8
CSCE coffee surges after ACPC extends quotas
NEW YORK, May 21 (Reuter) - After pulling back for three
sessions in a row, CSCE coffee futures charged back with a
vengeance on Wednesday as speculators bought heavily amid news
the Association of Coffee Producing Countries (ACPC) extended
coffee export quotas, market sources said.
"Talk the ACPC was loosening quotas was part of the
bearish news affecting the market over the last few days,"
said Allendale analyst Jim Cordier. "The fact they're not
going to follow through on that is bullish.
Floor traders also attributed the market's run-up to
weather outlooks calling for cooler weather in top-producer
Brazil by the end of this week. Forecasters said the colder
air is not expected to cause damage, but traders said any drop
in temperatures was bound to spur nervous buying.
July arabicas soared 12.85 cents per lb -- more than five
percent -- on the day, to end at 253.10 cents, after ranging
from 255.00 and 239.00 cents. Second-position September jumped
10.35 cents to 225.05 cents, while the outer months finished
up 3.80 to 6.60.
Prices dipped in early going, pressured by a bout of light
trade selling, dealers said. July arabicas fell to a low of
239.00 cents, just shy of key chart support at 238.00 cents.
But as news of the ACPC's decision to continue current
export limits made its way into the market, prices quickly
reversed course.
The 14-nation ACPC, which ended talks in London on
Wednesday, reached an accord to limits export quotas at 52.75
million bags for one year starting July 1. This compared with
a cap for 1996/97 orginally set at 53.55 million 60-kg bags
but later reduced by 800,000 bags.
A statement from the group said the goal was "to ensure
prices remain at a level remunerative to producers."
Additionally, the ACPC made provision to juggle supply
within their one-year limit on a seasonal basis in line with
fluctuating markets.
Talk earlier in the week that the ACPC might revise or
scrap export quotas all together contributed to bearish
sentiment the past three sessions, traders said.
"The market is coming back to levels seen early in the
week," said Merrill Lynch analyst Judith Ganes. "It had failed
because people feared the sudden release of coffee hiding in
some warehouse."
But while the market viewed the ACPC as friendly, most
analysts said it would probably have little impact because many
producers would still be tempted to sell in order to take
advantage of surging prices.
"Officially, they put out communiques saying they are
sticking by their quota," said one industry source. "But they
are going to cheat. They are poor countries and if prices stay
at these lofty levels, there are a lot of incentives to sell.
All these countries have deficits and they need the money."
Low inventory levels in both consuming and producing
countries, combined with smaller crops in many Latin America
nations and projections for a reduced crop in Brazil next
season, have been behind coffee's uninterrupted five-month
rally to prices not seen in 20 years.
Analysts said the market would be especially sensitive to
any reports of cool weather in Brazil. Although weather
outlooks today stressed no damaging cold was expected, a drop
in temperatures was enough to inspired panicky buying.
Smith Barney meteorolgist Jon Davis said in a report on
Wednesday that a cold airmass in central Argentina would bring
cooler weather in Brazil, with temperatures on Sunday and
Monday -- the day's expected to be the coldest -- falling into
the 40s F.
"These readings are unusually cold for this time of year,"
he said. "But not down to levels which would cause damage to
the developing beans or more importantly, the trees
themselves."
After Tuesday's close, the CSCE reported certified coffee
stocks continued to climb. Stocks increased by 2,250 bags, to
51,212 bags as of May 20. There was no coffee pending grading,
the exchange said.
Volume reached an estimated 10,885 lots.
221100 MET may 97
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