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"CROLEI" ESTIMATES INCREASE OF INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION IN CROATIA

ZAGREB, June 18 (Hina) -The trend of the CROLEI index in the last month showed that an increase in industrial production in Croatia could be expected by autumn, the Croatian Finance Ministry said on Tuesday. The CROLEI (Croatian Leading Economic Indicator) index for short-term estimates was determined by the Croatian Ministry of Finance and the Zagreb Economic Institute on the basis of a methodology developed in the U.S. National Bureau for Economic Research. It heralds a trend of industrial production and overall economic activity five to six months in advance. A continual drop of the CROLEI index in the first three months of 1995 pointed at a decline in production, which occurred in the middle of 1995, and its slow increase pointed at a stabilization of production which occurred at the end of 1995 and the beginning of 1996. (hina) ha jn 181536 MET jun 96

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