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CROATIA'S RISK INDICATOR REMAINS DB4D

ZAGREB, Jan 8 (Hina) - According to the recent report by the Dun&Bradstreet (DB) credit rating company, Croatia's risk indicator for January is the same, namely DB4d, with a well-balanced trend as in December 2001. A growth of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) and a decrease of an inflation rate mark Croatia's risk profile in the first month of 2002, officials of Zagreb's company BonLine, a D&B representative, said in statement Tuesday. Croatia's industrial production and retail significantly increased in the past several months, which resulted in a strong growth of GDP. With regard to these data, D$B is considering a possibility to increase a GDP growth assessment for 2001 which currently amounts to four percent. In proportion to a drop of retail prices, an inflation rate dropped from 3.2 percent in October to 2.8 percent in November, and D&B revised its forecast for annual inflation to 2.7 percent, and to 2.5
ZAGREB, Jan 8 (Hina) - According to the recent report by the Dun&Bradstreet (DB) credit rating company, Croatia's risk indicator for January is the same, namely DB4d, with a well- balanced trend as in December 2001. A growth of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) and a decrease of an inflation rate mark Croatia's risk profile in the first month of 2002, officials of Zagreb's company BonLine, a D&B representative, said in statement Tuesday. Croatia's industrial production and retail significantly increased in the past several months, which resulted in a strong growth of GDP. With regard to these data, D$B is considering a possibility to increase a GDP growth assessment for 2001 which currently amounts to four percent. In proportion to a drop of retail prices, an inflation rate dropped from 3.2 percent in October to 2.8 percent in November, and D&B revised its forecast for annual inflation to 2.7 percent, and to 2.5 percent in January this year. In the report, D&B stresses the importance of good cooperation among Croatia and international institutions, particularly with the International Monetary Fund (IMF), as it directly points to an investment risk degree, including decisions by foreign investors on investing in Croatia. The Croatian government will have to make efforts to "meet the IMF requests in terms of a further economic growth (3.5 percent) and a decrease in trade balance (four percent of GDP)" considering its goal to attract good customers for firms in security and power sectors. D&B estimates deficit trend less optimistically, to 4.5 percent of GDP. On the credit rating scale of 24 countries of central and eastern Europe, Croatia is ninth, while Hungary and Slovenia with DB2d risk indicators (countries of low risk) are leading on the scale. Yugoslavia is on the last place with a DB6d risk indicator. (hina) np

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